Download e-book for kindle: Childbearing Trends and Prospects in Low-Fertility by Tomas Frejka, Jean-Paul Sardon

By Tomas Frejka, Jean-Paul Sardon

ISBN-10: 1402024576

ISBN-13: 9781402024573

ISBN-10: 1402024584

ISBN-13: 9781402024580

"This is a journey de strength in cohort fertility research, a deep and strong piece of labor. it's a extraordinary demonstration of the strength of actually exact empirical research of fine and finished facts, with the information checked out from each attitude and judiciously extrapolated into the long run. It represents an incredible contribution to our figuring out of up to date low fertility in Europe and different constructed nations..." Thomas okay. Burch, college of Victoria, BC, Canada

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Additional info for Childbearing Trends and Prospects in Low-Fertility Countries: A Cohort Analysis (European Studies of Population)

Sample text

Between 1966 and 1994 the labor force participation rate for married women increased from 50 to more than 90 per cent with a large proportion of these women working full-time (Matthiessen 1997). The successive governments of Denmark have never promulgated a population policy “aimed at influencing the size, the growth, or the structure of population” (United Nations et al. 1994c). For several decades, however, extensive government welfare measures have been in place and these were being continuously expanded.

Between the ages of 34 and 46 they were having 35 to 60 per cent less children. 39 less children per woman between 28 and 49 years of age (Table N-1). 09 for the 1950 cohort. It was mainly a consequence of a fertility decline while women were in their prime reproductive period (Figures NR-2 and NR-3 and Table N-1). 09 births per woman. But a further profound change in the age pattern of childbearing took place, namely a pronounced and genuine shift into the older ages. Up to the age of 26 women in the 1960 cohort were having fewer Table N-1.

Obviously this creates a possibility of under- or over-estimation depending on the actual future fertility of the older women. Caution is taken to minimize the possibility of error by estimating only a small 14 Cf. previous footnote. 20 Chapter 2 proportion of the respective measure, a maximum of 15 per cent. As will be demonstrated the proportion of the measure that is estimated is between 5 and 15 per cent only for very few cohorts. The actual errors tend to be minimal. The applied methods of estimation have been checked for many birth cohorts with data available from vital registration.

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Childbearing Trends and Prospects in Low-Fertility Countries: A Cohort Analysis (European Studies of Population) by Tomas Frejka, Jean-Paul Sardon


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